French growth – Starting to foot the bill of politics
- 2024.17.12
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Contents
- Why do we cut our French growth outlook from 1.0 to 0.8% for 2025?
- Impact on budget metrics already significant with a 6.0% deficit in 2025
- What about 2026? Some hopes...
In resume
Due to latest political developments and recent soft data (BdF survey, PMIs etc.), we are currently reviewing into details our forecast for France. The final and official version will be published in CASA Eco next ‘World scenario’ that will be published on 20 December. In this paper, we introduce some key preliminary figures that we obtained, the main news is the downward revision of our growth forecast from 1.0% to 0.8% for 2025.