Stupefaction was the reaction to Donald Trump's “Liberation Day” tariff announcements. Firstly, because the tariffs – which Trump claims are sucking the life out of the US economy – are perplexing when compared with those applied. Secondly, because the tariffs announced (including the strangely calculated reciprocal tariffs) exceed what had been anticipated and are likely to be further tightened. Finally...

Economic activity in France quickened in Q3 2024, with quarterly growth coming in at 0.4%, compared with 0.2% in Q1 and Q2. This uptick is explained by the Paris Olympic and Paralympic Games, estimated to have added 0.2 percentage points to Q3 growth. At the end of Q3, carry-over growth for 2024 was 1.1%. 

The economy is not expected to have grown at all in Q4 2024 due to the boost from the Paris...

The downward revision of our forecasts for the German economy is in line with the preliminary estimate of a 0.2% contraction in GDP in 2024. Activity in the first three quarters of 2024 was supported in particular by public consumption, despite limited budgetary resources. Household consumption, on the other hand, weighed on growth. Households switched to savings because of low consumer confidence in a...

Facing the relative slowdown in the US economy, growth in the Eurozone accelerated slightly over the summer, although still at a much lower rate than in the United States (0.9% year-on-year).

The upturn in household consumption seen over the summer bodes well for slightly stronger growth next year. The latest information on investment does not plead in favour of a marked acceleration. We have revised our...

The UK economy is on course to slow sharply in H2-24. Real GDP was stable in Q3 against our expectation for an increase (0.3% QoQ) after 0.4% QoQ in Q2. Business surveys deteriorated during Q4. Furthermore, financial conditions have tightened since the Autumn Budget 2024 and quite meaningfully so since the beginning 2025: gilt yields have risen sharply (around 60bp since October) and sterling has...

The Spanish economy managed to maintain a robust growth rate until Q3 2024 despite multiple headwinds, including weakness in the eurozone economies, persistently high inflation and the impact of past interest rate hikes. Behind this good performance are several key factors, including the solid performance of the labour market, continued high immigration and positive international tourism data, which once...

Avec 42,1 milliards de dollars collectés sur l’année, en baisse limitée de 10,4%, la fintech mondiale semble s’orienter en 2025 vers un nouveau cycle plus porteur. Mais, l’environnement des fintech reste incertain d’autant que pèse désormais sur elles le poids de la dette.

Dans le monde d’une cryptosphère en quête d’applications pratiques et utiles, une annonce de Stripe en date du 21 octobre dernier a suscité de nombreuses réactions. Le géant américain des paiements va débourser 1,1 milliard de dollars pour s’offrir Bridge, une start-up spécialisée dans l'intégration de stablecoins aux infrastructures de paiements. Si certains pensent que ces jetons de monnaie...

Avec un nombre d'opérations de levées de fonds pratiquement à l'équilibre par rapport à l'année dernière, la fintech mondiale semble retrouver quelques couleurs. Dans cet écosystème, les start-up basées aux États-Unis continuent de capter en majorité l'attention des investisseurs, confirmant la suprématie de la finance innovante américaine au sein de la tech mondiale.

Au cours du premier semestre de l'année en cours, le secteur des technologies financières a collecté 19,3 milliards de dollars d'argent frais. Ce chiffre s'affiche en diminution par rapport à la même période de l'année précédente, avec une réduction de 29%. Toutefois, cette nouvelle baisse est à relativiser au regard du nombre de transactions qui résiste à cette inflexion.