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Geoeconomics – Has geopolitics tamed markets?
It may appear surprising that the spectacular abduction by the United States of Nicolás Maduro – a flagrant violation of the United Nations Charter – has unleashed only the faintest of financial shockwaves. Not only did markets easily absorb this event, they immediately wanted to know what would happen next. There has been no massive flight to safe assets, no financial dislocation, no lasting pressure on...
South Korea: a year after the political crisis, markets are buying the promise of stability
On 3 December 2024, South Korea was thrown into political crisis. Struggling in parliament, where he had lost his majority, President Yoon declared martial law in a move he claimed was justified by North Korean and Chinese interference.
The immediate mass mobilisation of opposition members of parliament and civil society put a stop to this attempted power grab and paved the way for proceedings that...
Fog over New Delhi
India is shrouded in fog: the fog of pollution, which is making New Delhi increasingly unliveable; the fog of terrorism, with tensions with Pakistan triggering a number of attacks; and the fog of trade talks with the United States, which seem to have been at a standstill for weeks.
France – The residential real-estate market: correction continued
The residential real-estate market in France has been severely impacted by the sharp rise in mortgage rates since 2022. While the decline in housing sales was quick to materialize, prices in existing properties adjusted with a lag in transactions. On the new housing market, while sales are at historic lows, price declines have been more contained.