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Les agités de la prédiction
La prédiction, un marché de niche pour parieurs compulsifs ? Certaines fintech voient dans les marchés prédictifs un levier pour attirer en masse une clientèle « plus joueuse ». A contrario, d’autres acteurs y voient un terrain miné. Entre les deux, de nombreux acteurs de l’industrie bancaire et financière se questionnent.
La minute pédago – Parlons épargne
Les ménages français mettent de côté plus de 18% de leurs revenus, un niveau inédit. Derrière cette épargne record se cache un paradoxe : les Français épargnent plus, mais s’enrichissent moins que les Américains. Pourquoi épargnons-nous ? En quoi l’épargne nous protège-t-elle davantage qu’elle n’enrichit ? Et comment pourrait-elle être mobilisée comme un levier stratégique pour l’Europe de demain ? Pour...
Paris Blockchain Week Celebrates Weaponized Regulation
Paris Blockchain Week highlighted the strategy adopted by global leaders in the crypto-asset sector, who are using regulation as a tool to shape and control the European digital market. This approach favors players with significant resources, thereby creating a de facto regulatory oligopoly.
La Paris Blockchain Week consacre la "réglementation-armée"
La Paris Blockchain Week a mis en lumière la stratégie adoptée par les leaders mondiaux des crypto-actifs, qui utilisent la réglementation comme un levier pour structurer et contrôler le marché numérique européen. Cette approche favorise les acteurs disposant de ressources importantes, créant ainsi un oligopole réglementaire de fait.
2026-2027 Scenario – Spain: Between a global slowdown and domestic support
Growth in the Spanish economy remains solid at the start of 2026, although it is showing signs of moderating in a more uncertain international environment. Domestic demand – underpinned by private consumption and investment – remains the main driver of economic activity, buoyed by a labour market that remains dynamic and by the impetus of public policies. At the same time, the external sector is making a...
2026-2027 Scenario – France: growth weakened by rising energy prices and renewed uncertainty
Economic activity slowed in 2025, whilst remaining resilient in a context of high uncertainty and rising trade tensions. The ongoing conflict in the Middle East has already resulted in higher energy prices and renewed geopolitical uncertainty. Under the assumption of a very gradual reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, without a return to normal conditions, consumer prices would accelerate on average in...
2026-2027 Scenario – Euro area: Domestic factors are keeping the risk of recession at bay
This scenario is set against a backdrop of military, political and economic uncertainty that makes forecasting the scale of shocks and their macroeconomic impact particularly risky. But one thing is certain: the tightening of external constraints on the Eurozone, which is facing more volatile prices on global energy markets. Whilst, unlike in 2022, the risk is less one of shortages, its vulnerability to...
Stablecoins ou le retour des chats sauvages
Quand l’histoire américaine du free banking et des wildcat banks nous parle des stablecoins, de Tether et de son USDT.
World – Scenario 2026-2027: highly subject to change
The powerful political and geopolitical consequences of the conflict in the Middle East will extend far beyond the more immediate ones that this scenario aims to identify. This conflict is not an isolated incident, but rather it is part of a series of supply shocks (the Covid pandemic, the war in Ukraine, Houthi attacks) that highlight critical dependencies on a few key chokepoints (eg, commodities...